218-127-7 lifetime record (Since 2005), 63% Lifetime!!!!

Wanted to let you all know things are looking pretty good this week. It looks like we‘ll have a couple recommended plays for this upcoming week. We might have a play on Thursday nights GT-Miami game so be sure to check back later this week.

It was a pretty good start to the season going 5-3 on our recommended and free plays. We went 3-3 on our recommended plays with pretty convincing wins on Missouri, Stanford, and Tulsa and losses on Western Michigan, Rice, and Ball State. Our Free plays (South Carolina and Colorado State) both won outright as dogs, with Colorado State a 10 point dog (in a game we stated we thought they had a 35-40% chance to win outright)! Things are pretty tough early on as we have to balance adjustments to last year’s results based on assumptions about this year’s personnel. We introduced a new model this year to increase the accuracy of our early season adjustments, and based on the results in week one, we are pretty pleased with the results.

We are looking forward to next week as we got a ton of great data this week as well as some qualitative questions answered. We’ve looked at the lines for next week and there are some really intriguing propositions, looking forward to seeing where we end up for this week. Expect the plays to be released Friday around 5PM EST. We will take a look at the Thursday & Friday game. If we have an opinion, recommendation, or free play, we will get that out to the masses.

This year we are going to do something a little different. We will show each of the Geek Sheets so you can see exactly what we played. As you will come to learn, we are the most transparent Cappers out there.

Click here to see Week 1′s Recommended Plays.

Get Geeked!

Just 3 more days until the season kicks-off.

If you sign up for a season package, before Thursday night, we will throw in the bowls for free. We’ve usually priced them around $200 – $300 bucks.

We’ve got all 6 models humming right now. We’ve also got a brand new way to present the plays. This year, you will receive an actual “Geek Sheet” for every play. Each pick will have their own projections, analysis, graphs/charts, keys to the game, as well as individual summary. It’s the total package!

You will be emailed the plays, every FRIDAY around 5PM EST, as well as have access to the members only section of the site.

We finished last season with our second best year ever at 68% (52-24-1) on our recommended plays. All of our plays are monitored each year by Cappers Watchdog, so you know we aren’t fudging the numbers. We have had our picks published for the last 4 years, with amazing success. Our overall record is an astounding 63% (215-119-7). We are entering our 5^th year of college football handicapping (5 years of being on the internet, at least) and can’t wait to get started!

For those of you that don’t know about us:

(or see – “Why TheGeekSheet”)

Our system is unlike most College Football Handicappers out there; it’s based on historical and situational analysis. We scrutinize and breakdown every game, each week, while computing the numbers through our 5 different math models that we have created to predict each and every possible outcome of a football game. 68% of the time last year we beat the spread. It works. And it has worked for us for many years. And with our information, we have been able to really work Vegas over. The math is multifaceted and complex….quite frankly it will make your head spin. But we have The Geek as well as some serious math nerds that love this stuff.

Our approach is extremely straightforward. We will tell you when there are flaws with the spread and we will tell you when to keep your money and walk. There are no gimmicks with us. Our methods are real, calculated, and deadly accurate. We built these models for ourselves. We wanted a way to beat the odds and know when to really hammer a spread. Our philosophy hasn’t changed much. We do this relentlessly and love the challenge. Five years ago our buddies urged us to share our plays, so here we are. We can promise you one thing; in an industry wrought with misinformation, absurd claims, dubious personas, and outlandish games of the season, month, week, conference, time of day, etc you’ll find nothing but a honest and thorough breakdown of games based on as accurate an assessment as we can make in a sea of misleading and erroneous information.

Like every year we have spent a lot of the off season analyzing our 5 models and calculations, and have made a few tweaks which we think will produce more consistent and predictable metrics. For the second year in a row, we’ve added yet another team member to GSS. Nick has joined us to help upgrade our databases and analytical models. We are excited to have him here and very excited about the work he is doing to improve the analytical ability of our models and the improved historic data we are able to capture with our database.

As always feel free to drop us a line if you have a question about a specific game or situation, we’re happy to give you our two cents. You may not always like what we have to say, but we can promise it will be founded in sound analysis based on an exhaustive and exacting research.

For those of you who haven’t taken the time to look at Cappers Watch Dog, you should really check them out. 

Long story short they are a ”Free Sports Handicapper Monitor Service Watching Premium Basketball Baseball Hockey and Football Picks”  Any capper that has ANY credibility at all is monitored by an independent service such as them.  Check out the Top 10 Ranked College Football Handicappers – Season Ranked By Overall Win Percentage.  See a familar name all over the place?  Yeah, that just happened.  Not much more we can say about it.