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2-1 on Week 1 (Week 1 Recap)…Week 2 Update

September 6, 2010 12:27 pm
Filed under: College Football Handicapping


We’ve been looking at Week 2 and feel really good about the cards again.  Our models are really lining up like never before (this early on).  We are passing on tonights games, as well as Friday’s games, but will release our 3-6 Recommended plays tomorrow around 1PM EST.   Be sure to sign up!

We were 2-1 on Week 1′s RECOMMENDED Plays. We called for Oklahoma St to blow out Wash State as a 15 pt favorite and cruised to an easy victory 65-17.  We also called for ECU to win straight up as an 8 pt dog and they did just that!  I  went to bed Saturday night feeling pretty good about  Cincinnati (3 pt dog) as mid way thru the 2nd quarter Cincy was up 14-0, had nearly 200 yards offense, and Fresno had zero 1st downs and less than 50 yards total offense.  Not sure what happened in the midnight hour but Cincinnati must have fallen asleep also as they didn’t score again and yielded 4 Fresno TDs.

All in all a pretty successful week 1, we said early in the week we really liked how things were shaping up and that proved to be correct!  Our 2-1 Week 1 brings our lifetime record to 257-156-9 (62%). We spent a lot of time this offseason working on our preseason adjustments including implementing a power rating system we have been testing for a couple seasons.  It seems to really be paying off as we have a much more statistically significant metric to accurately adjust last season’s numbers based on this year’s players/coaches.  We expect to drastically increase our accuracy and confidence the 1st four weeks while we wait on enough data from this season (usually around week 4).  Make sure to check out one of our packages, week 2 is already here!

WEEK 1 RECOMMENDED PLAYS:

  1. #2 Recommended Play- Oklahoma State (-17) click for the geeksheet) – 17 point favorite that won by 48 points!!!!!
  2. #2 Recommended Play- Cincinnati (+3) click for the geeksheet) – Cincy blew a 14 points lead, as a 3 point dog and ended up losing 14-28.  They pretty much gave up in the 2nd half.  We still feel good about our projections and have no regrets.  Again, the models are really dialed in for being this early on in the season.
  3. #3 Recommended Play - ECU (+7) (Click for the geeksheet) – Won SU as a 7 point dog, which we called for!!

Sign up now, if you haven’t already. We are really excited about this year, and spent more time this off-season than we ever have in the past.  This is the last week to sign up for a SEASON PACKAGE to receive the Bowl Season for FREE!!

The Geek