We suffered only our second losing week this week going just 1-2-1 on our 4 recommended plays. 

1. Oklahoma State- won by just 13 despite outgaining Buffalo 443-304 yards, and was largely because of a freak tipped pass TD for Colorado and a late Oklahoma State interception that set Colorado up with a 16 yard field.  Take any one of those away and we cover.  Our projections called for 457 yards for Oklahoma State and 306 yards for Colorado, so we were dead on, and had we not had any of the above or had OSU converted one of their 3 FGs to TDs we would have been scarily close to our projection of 39-15.  Despite the loss I feel 100% confident we were on the correct side in this game.
2. New Mexico got whipped pretty good 20-6 despite only being outgained by 30 yards.  Still the key to this game was NM getting on track rushing the football and that didn’t really happen (only 153 on the game), although they did average 5.5 ypr.
3. Illinois – We pushed this one, but it took a comical run of errors for us not to win this game, including:
   1. A fumble by quarterback Juice Williams on the 19 setting OSU up with a 19 yard field.
   2. A blocked punt for a safety
   3. an interception in the red zone effectively erasing 3 or 7 points
   4. A punt and kickoff into the wind that went nowhere, giving the Buckeyes great field position (5 of 12 OSU’s possessions started in Illinois territory or within 5 yards of the 50)
   5. Illinois had 298 yards offense at half, and 455 total (They outgained OSU 454-354), but was outscored by 10.
   6. We were pretty dead on with our analysis and projections and just suffered some horrible luck.

 
So in a week where we went 1-2-1, we easily could have been 3-1, and should have been atleast 2-2.  We’ll take some solace that we were dead on in our analysis of 3 games, and our 4^th wasn’t near as bad as the score might have otherwise indicated.  We are still 47-20-1 this season on our recommended plays, which is an incredible feat (right at 70%).