This was an extremely long week on the front end, as there were 25 games that passed the initial model alignment, coverage percentage, and line value filters. We ran our initial math and situational analysis on 20 of those (we usually are at 12-15 that pass the filter and can kick out another 3-5 based on bad situations, angles, or poor statistical situational support so our work load was about double this week.

We’ve also had a lot of late line movement lately (usually starting Thursday evening) that has deteriorated some line value on our recommended plays. It is impossible to predict why, but we’ve already noticed some early movement on a couple of the games we really like, so we are doing something we don’t typically do, and that is release the recommended selections in phases.

We really love these 5 Saturday games, and there is nothing that was going to chance our mind between now and then, so we didn’t want to risk losing line value because we were waiting on what was an abnormally long list of games to breakdown.

We are still working on 7 -10 more games, most of which look to be a recommended play of some sorts (we may have 2-3 fall out because of low line coverage if the lines move between now and when we can wrap up our final analysis tonight and tomorrow morning).

If we decide to make a play on the Friday night game, we’ll send an update later tonight. Otherwise we’ll have the balance of the recommended plays and write ups posted around 5ish on Friday.

Thanks and good luck to all.

The Geek